This is a preview of the content available in the 2016-17 Fantasy Projections spreadsheet, which you can purchase here for a reasonably small sum. By content, I mean the projections themselves. The spreadsheet contains no words or analysis about any specific player. If analysis is what you are interested in, you can tweet me a player’s name with #domplshelp and I will send you an appropriate response composed entirely of emojis.
Here are the projected top 10 goalies for next season, sorted by wins scored (read: not fantasy rankings as those depend on your scoring settings, something you can change yourself in the fancy spreadsheet).
This definitely won’t be controversial…
Jonathan Quick is not the best goalie in the league. He’s not the best fantasy goalie in the league. But if we’re sorting by projected wins he’s at the top. Blame the great team he’s on and blame the fact that he’ll likely start more games than any other goalie in the league.
Martin Jones is basically NoCal Quick. Not surprising since he was under his wing for two years before finally getting a starting job with the Sharks. He was fine in that role, just fine. Like Quick. He’ll be fine again this year and thanks to the team in front of him, he should pile up the wins.
A lot of fantasy projections this year seem to have Braden Holtby repeating last year’s ridiculous number of wins which is a bit insane. Washington will regress this season from their 120 point campaign and with that, so too will Holtby’s win totals. He’s a better goalie than the guys above him, but they’re on slightly better teams (according to my model at least).
Carey Price picks up where he left off, as probably the best goalie in fantasy hockey. He’s got the highest projected save percentage and should get the wins Montreal couldn’t last season. Coming back from a knee injury is a big concern though, so there’s a lot of risk in picking Price.
After three straight years near .930 save percentage, Rask has dropped in consecutive years to .922 and a very un-Rask-like .915 last season. Expect a bounce back for both him and the team this season.
Like Quick, Devan Dubnyk gets a huge number of starts and that leads to some good win totals. Minnesota isn’t on Los Angeles’ level, but they’re still a decent team. Dubnyk is above average and gets wins. It’s unremarkable, but he’ll get the job done.
Pekka Rinne is one of the worst goalies in the league at this point. But the team in front of him is rock solid so he’s worth a flier, as long as you don’t overdraft him thanks to his name-brand value.
He’d be way higher if it was likely he’d get more starts, but Andrei Vasilevskiy has been anointed the goalie of the future already. With Ben Bishop being a pending UFA, he likely gets traded before the season’s up which would be a blessing for fantasy owners hoping he gets more starts.
Jake Allen is finally a starter after the Blues picked him over Brian Elliott. It was probably the wrong choice, but I digress. Allen is an okay goalie, but like so many on this list he should be a decent bet for a lot of wins thanks to the boys in front of him.
It’s crazy that Fleury made this list considering he’s projected to play under 55 games, but that’s how good the Penguins should be this season. The threat of Matt Murray stealing the crease is very real, making either goalie a huge gamble fantasy-wise. If he does play a starter’s load, expect a lot of wins.